Mafia (Game in progress)

Discussion in 'Forum Games and Activities' started by SmellyStuff, Jun 15, 2009.

Page 34 of 41

  1. Bender BG Herd

    I'm voting Roaddogg again.

    I still think it's a devious plan to make one of the guys the same guy twice in a row.
     
    Bender, Jun 26, 2009
    #661

  2. Fungus K Fung

    Something weird is going. This can't be a coincidence...
     
    Fungus, Jun 26, 2009
    #662

  3. SmellyStuff MP Chung

    Boy Blunder
    Farny
    Luffers
    Arheiner
    Marto
    Fan09
    Bovver
    Callum
    marcussjd9
    sik_slogga
    RyanG
    Snake
    Jabba
    Roaddogg
    Heef
    kingdamo
    Gazza
    Bender
    nz0003
    Fungus
     
    SmellyStuff, Jun 26, 2009
    #663

  4. SmellyStuff MP Chung

    Snake has been arrested this round so cannot vote this round or perform his action next round.
     
    SmellyStuff, Jun 26, 2009
    #664

  5. Snake A Vago

    The police are obviously corrupt. Treating a hardworking law abiding citizen like a petty thug is disgraceful!
     
    Snake, Jun 26, 2009
    #665

  6. HeathDavisSpeed HT Davis

    Hmmm... Indeed. The forces of evil are amongst us. Very, very sceptical of this.
     
    HeathDavisSpeed, Jun 26, 2009
    #666

  7. Fungus K Fung

    Seriously, what are the chances of it happening?
     
    Fungus, Jun 26, 2009
    #667

  8. SmellyStuff MP Chung

    I can assure you that I told no one anything other than the information required for their role.
     
    SmellyStuff, Jun 26, 2009
    #668

  9. HeathDavisSpeed HT Davis

    In the first round, given no information available then (1/20)*(1/19) = (1/380)

    In subsequent rounds, when they could have gleaned information from round 1, the best they can expect is 1 * (1/17), I would think.

    Pretty unlikely.
     
    HeathDavisSpeed, Jun 26, 2009
    #669

  10. Bender BG Herd

    So what, Fungus and heat were in the mafia?
     
    Bender, Jun 26, 2009
    #670

  11. Fungus K Fung

    Someone on our side is corrupted...
     
    Fungus, Jun 26, 2009
    #671

  12. SmellyStuff MP Chung

    Trust me, when I received the PMs for the first two rounds my first thought was "Thats just god damn unlucky".
     
    SmellyStuff, Jun 26, 2009
    #672

  13. Fungus K Fung

    Yeah, what's the chance of the whole team though...must be more than that.
     
    Fungus, Jun 26, 2009
    #673

  14. HeathDavisSpeed HT Davis

    Yeah. Not blaming you at all. I'm wondering if there was a leak. Some collusion with the opposition maybe?
     
    HeathDavisSpeed, Jun 26, 2009
    #674

  15. Marto RK Fittaman

    Roaddogg
     
    Marto, Jun 26, 2009
    #675

  16. HeathDavisSpeed HT Davis

    Statistically speaking, they are separate events. My calculation of the 2nd event is possibly understating things, but the probability of the 1st event won't be far out.

    In fact, the odds will be shorter as they'll know who they are. So more like 1/16 * 1/15 = 1/240
     
    HeathDavisSpeed, Jun 26, 2009
    #676

  17. SmellyStuff MP Chung

    Even if collusion were a possibility, there's no way your leak would have known who the opposition was anyway (and vice versa).
     
    SmellyStuff, Jun 26, 2009
    #677

  18. Fungus K Fung

    That has to be it. I really can't see them being this lucky. :p
     
    Fungus, Jun 26, 2009
    #678

  19. Fungus K Fung

    But if they were part of the enemy, performing on the leak would be advantageous to them.
     
    Fungus, Jun 26, 2009
    #679

  20. SmellyStuff MP Chung

    Yeah, but there's no way your leak would have known who to contact with the information since very little information could be gleaned from the first round.
     
    SmellyStuff, Jun 26, 2009
    #680
Page 34 of 41

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