Good good. Exactly what I do. If I start with $20 I usually bet $4-$5 each then it goes up to $10, $15 and $20, with a bit of going up/ down in between obviously. By the $20 each bet stage I'm usually at the point where I'm looking to withdraw and starting again.
I don't follow anything but NBA so wouldn't have a clue. The fact they only play once a week? Makes things a bit harder - form etc. Isn't quite as obvious and I'd suspect the style of play is different.
no, that's not how expected value works. say you make 5 bets of $100 and expect to lose $5 on that bet if you made it infinite times, but you actually won $100 on those bets, you weren't +ev because you won.
I know how EV works. I'm not saying I am actually a +EV bettor necessarily, just the evidence so far can only suggest that I am or incredibly lucky. I dunno what sample size of bets is necessarily reasonable to start justifying that the probability of winning is in my favour. Nearly 800 bets you would think is a large enough sample to start saying it's not a one off but then I don't really know when it comes to sports betting.
Coffs Harbour; Race 6, #3 Villamill. Comes back to the North Coast from races at Doomben and the Gold Coast. Last two starts after mid stint mini spells (like it has here) have been a 1st at Grafton and a 2nd at Eagle Farm. Ran 3rd at Doomben over this distance about 4 weeks ago. I don't know much about the apprentice jockey though, treichel normally rides it.
"Taking on Tom" today. (Straight) Rhill R1 (2) Marple Miss (To Win) @ 3.30 Enhanced Odds - Marple Miss $50.00 (Straight) Rhill R6 (1) Catkins (To Win) @ 2.30 Enhanced Odds - Catkins $50.00 (Straight) Either Kermadec, Delectation or Harrier Jet to Win @ 2.50 Chris Waller Special - Rosehill Race (5) $50.00 (Straight) Arsenal to Win and Both Teams to Score @ 4.50 Arsenal to Win and Both Teams to Score $20.00 (Straight) Melb R4 (1) Prompt Return (To Win) @ 3.70 Enhanced Odds - Prompt Return $50.00 (Straight) Melb R1 (1) Jacquinot Bay (To Win) @ 2.40 Enhanced Odds - Jacquinot Bay $50.00
FTR, my last "take on Tom" was; 19 Jan 15, 21:24 ACST tweet won (Straight) Serena Williams Wins 2015 Australian Open @ 6.00 Serena Williams Wins 2015 Australian Open
Taking on Tom again. (Straight) Caul R3 (1) Fontiton (To Win) @ 3.20 Enhanced Odds - Fontiton $50.00 $110.00 (Straight) Rand R2 (3) Georgey Aeroplane (To Win) @ 4.00 Enhanced Odds - Georgey Aeroplane $50.00 -$50.00 pending (Straight) Rand R5 (3) First Seal (To Win) @ 3.60 Enhanced Odds- First Seal $50.00 $130.00 pending (Straight) Australia to win the 2015 ICC Cricket World Cup @ 4.00 Australia to Win the 2015 ICC World Cup $25 $75 Also had Warner or Finch to score a 50 and Aus to win @$3. Was pissing down in Melbourne at the time so I didn't touch it. Looks a good bet now the sun is shining.
pending 10: (Best Tote) Authentic Swing Mackay Race 5 W $50.00 P$50.00 Dividend pending 4: (Best Tote) Street Singer Mackay Race 4 W $10.00 P$10.00 Dividend pending (Straight) Rand R5 (3) First Seal (To Win) @ 3.60 Enhanced Odds- First Seal $50.00 $130.0
Was only the first 300 punters too, so when I went to put it on when the rain had stopped, the deal had gone
Won $200 on tuesday on the horses and another $200 on wednesday. Currently took $10 upto $86 today after starting half way through most of the races. Hopefully i can make it upto $100 before the last bet. Lost only $20 of my own money during the $400 stint