Betting thread

Discussion in 'Betting, Tipping and Fantasy' started by mouse, May 23, 2009.

  1. Rego RS Hutchinson

    Good good. Exactly what I do. If I start with $20 I usually bet $4-$5 each then it goes up to $10, $15 and $20, with a bit of going up/ down in between obviously. By the $20 each bet stage I'm usually at the point where I'm looking to withdraw and starting again.
     
  2. kingdamo DRP Taylor

    Sweet man, I look forward to tomorrow! May have a tickle on the Aussie leagues tonight :p.
     
  3. Rego RS Hutchinson

    I don't follow anything but NBA so wouldn't have a clue. The fact they only play once a week? Makes things a bit harder - form etc. Isn't quite as obvious and I'd suspect the style of play is different.
     
  4. Jake A Pimpkins

    no, that's not how expected value works. say you make 5 bets of $100 and expect to lose $5 on that bet if you made it infinite times, but you actually won $100 on those bets, you weren't +ev because you won.
     
  5. kingdamo DRP Taylor

    Taking Kings v. Crocs UNDER 171.5.

    :stupid:
     
    Last edited: Jan 9, 2015
  6. Rego RS Hutchinson

    I know how EV works. I'm not saying I am actually a +EV bettor necessarily, just the evidence so far can only suggest that I am or incredibly lucky. I dunno what sample size of bets is necessarily reasonable to start justifying that the probability of winning is in my favour.

    Nearly 800 bets you would think is a large enough sample to start saying it's not a one off but then I don't really know when it comes to sports betting.
     
    Last edited: Jan 10, 2015
  7. Captain SSD Dong

    Jake is so jelly
     
  8. Julian BJ Taylor

    Coffs Harbour; Race 6, #3 Villamill.

    Comes back to the North Coast from races at Doomben and the Gold Coast. Last two starts after mid stint mini spells (like it has here) have been a 1st at Grafton and a 2nd at Eagle Farm. Ran 3rd at Doomben over this distance about 4 weeks ago. I don't know much about the apprentice jockey though, treichel normally rides it.
     
  9. Julian BJ Taylor

    Terrible, terrible ride.
     
  10. Rusty RST Downpipes

    "Taking on Tom" today.


    (Straight) Rhill R1 (2) Marple Miss (To Win) @ 3.30 Enhanced Odds - Marple Miss $50.00
    (Straight) Rhill R6 (1) Catkins (To Win) @ 2.30 Enhanced Odds - Catkins $50.00
    (Straight) Either Kermadec, Delectation or Harrier Jet to Win @ 2.50 Chris Waller Special - Rosehill Race (5) $50.00
    (Straight) Arsenal to Win and Both Teams to Score @ 4.50 Arsenal to Win and Both Teams to Score $20.00
    (Straight) Melb R4 (1) Prompt Return (To Win) @ 3.70 Enhanced Odds - Prompt Return $50.00
    (Straight) Melb R1 (1) Jacquinot Bay (To Win) @ 2.40 Enhanced Odds - Jacquinot Bay $50.00
     
    Last edited: Feb 7, 2015
  11. Rusty RST Downpipes

    2/2 off to a good start. Can shank the rest and still be up. :)
     
  12. Rusty RST Downpipes

    3/5 = $150 up.
     
  13. Rego RS Hutchinson

    Good shit bro.
     
  14. Rusty RST Downpipes

    FTR, my last "take on Tom" was;

    19 Jan 15, 21:24 ACST
    tweet won
    (Straight) Serena Williams Wins 2015 Australian Open @ 6.00 Serena Williams Wins 2015 Australian Open
     
  15. Rusty RST Downpipes

    Trying to follow your thread, but I'm always at work when the shit is going down.
     
  16. Rusty RST Downpipes

    Taking on Tom again. :p



    (Straight) Caul R3 (1) Fontiton (To Win) @ 3.20 Enhanced Odds - Fontiton $50.00 $110.00
    (Straight) Rand R2 (3) Georgey Aeroplane (To Win) @ 4.00 Enhanced Odds - Georgey Aeroplane $50.00 -$50.00
    pending
    (Straight) Rand R5 (3) First Seal (To Win) @ 3.60 Enhanced Odds- First Seal $50.00 $130.00

    pending
    (Straight) Australia to win the 2015 ICC Cricket World Cup @ 4.00 Australia to Win the 2015 ICC World Cup $25 $75

    Also had Warner or Finch to score a 50 and Aus to win @$3. Was pissing down in Melbourne at the time so I didn't touch it. Looks a good bet now the sun is shining.
     
    Last edited: Feb 14, 2015
  17. Sultan Pepper HG Emm

    I only had bonus bets in my account and wasn't allowed to get on it
     
  18. Rusty RST Downpipes

    pending
    10: (Best Tote) Authentic Swing Mackay Race 5 W $50.00 P$50.00 Dividend
    pending
    4: (Best Tote) Street Singer Mackay Race 4 W $10.00 P$10.00 Dividend
    pending
    (Straight) Rand R5 (3) First Seal (To Win) @ 3.60 Enhanced Odds- First Seal $50.00 $130.0
     
  19. Rusty RST Downpipes

    Was only the first 300 punters too, so when I went to put it on when the rain had stopped, the deal had gone
     
  20. azzal AJ O'Neill

    Won $200 on tuesday on the horses and another $200 on wednesday.

    Currently took $10 upto $86 today after starting half way through most of the races. Hopefully i can make it upto $100 before the last bet.

    Lost only $20 of my own money during the $400 stint
     

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